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Development Status of Domestic Civil Aviation Transportation Industry Based on ARIMA Model

Mengfan He, Yuhang Mao

Abstract


The civil aviation industry plays an important role in transportation. However, the civil aviation industry is most affected by sud_x005fden public safety and health incidents. In 2020, the total domestic transportation volume of China’s civil aviation industry was 58.75 billion
tons per kilometer, a decrease of 29.2% compared to last year, seriously affecting the development of the industry. This incident exposed the
insufficient level of prevention and response measures for sudden public safety and health incidents in the civil aviation industry. Therefore,
this article analyzes the monthly data of important civil aviation indicators over the past five years, and uses the ARIMA model to analyze the
domestic airline transportation volume, predict future development trends, and then propose relevant suggestions.

Keywords


Civil Aviation Transportation Industry; ARIMA Model; Domestic Route Transportation Volume; Sudden Public Safety and Health Incidents


Included Database


References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18686/utc.v9i4.198

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